What this is
An index of posts outlining some ideas in decision theory. I plan to have them available both on the forum and on github as pdfs. I might turn this into a general index for agentfoundationsrelated decision theory research depending on interest and my time.
Index
Index of some decision theory posts
As advertised.
Forum post: https://agentfoundations.org/item?id=1026
Github pdf: https://github.com/tsvibt/publicpdfs/blob/master/decisiontheory/index/main.pdf
Notation for induction and decision theory
A reference for notation that might be useful for using (universal) Garrabrant inductors as models for bounded reasoning, and some notation for modelling agents. (Not on the forum because tables.)
Github pdf: https://github.com/tsvibt/publicpdfs/blob/master/decisiontheory/notation/main.pdf
Desiderata for decision theory
A list of desiderata for a theory of optimal decisionmaking for bounded rational agents in general environments.
Forum post: https://agentfoundations.org/item?id=1053
Github pdf: https://github.com/tsvibt/publicpdfs/blob/master/decisiontheory/desiderata/main.pdf
An inductive setting for decision theory
A discussion of the appropriate setting for studying decision theory.
Forum post: todo
Github pdf: todo
Training a universal Garrabrant inductor to predict counterfactuals
A proposal for training UGIs to predict action and policycounterfactuals by learning from the consequences of actions taken by similar (“logically previous”) agents.
Forum post: https://agentfoundations.org/item?id=1054
Github pdf: https://github.com/tsvibt/publicpdfs/blob/master/decisiontheory/trainingcounterfactuals/main.pdf
Open problem: very thin logical priors
An open problem relevant to decision theory and to understanding bounded reasoning: is there a very easily computable prior over logical facts that, when updated on the results of computations, performs well in some sense?
Forum post: todo
Github pdf: todo
