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Index of some decision theory posts
discussion post by Tsvi Benson-Tilsen 598 days ago | Ryan Carey, Jack Gallagher, Jessica Taylor and Scott Garrabrant like this | discuss

What this is

Edit: this is now a general index for agent-foundations-related decision theory research. It is most-recent-first. I’ll add summaries for other posts if anyone wants.


Forum post:

Generalizing Foundations of Decision Theory

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Prediction Based Robust Cooperation

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Entangled Equilibria and the Twin Prisoners’ Dilemma

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On motivations for MIRI’s highly reliable agent design research

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Open problem: very thin logical priors

An open problem relevant to decision theory and to understanding bounded reasoning: is there a very easily computable prior over logical facts that, when updated on the results of computations, performs well in some sense?

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postCDT: Decision Theory using post-selected Bayes nets

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Updatelessness and Son of X

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A failed attempt at Updatelessness using Universal Inductors

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Training Garrabrant inductors to predict counterfactuals

A proposal for training UGIs to predict action- and policy-counterfactuals by learning from the consequences of actions taken by similar (“logically previous”) agents.

Forum post:

Github pdf:

Desiderata for decision theory

A list of desiderata for a theory of optimal decision-making for bounded rational agents in general environments.

Forum post:

Github pdf:

Transitive negotiations with counterfactual agents

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Attacking the grain of truth problem using Bayes-Savage agents

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Notation for induction and decision theory

A reference for notation that might be useful for using (universal) Garrabrant inductors as models for bounded reasoning, and some notation for modelling agents. (Not on the forum because tables.)

Github pdf:

Index of some decision theory posts

As advertised.

Forum post:

Github pdf:





Note: I currently think that
by Jessica Taylor on Predicting HCH using expert advice | 0 likes

Counterfactual mugging
by Jessica Taylor on Doubts about Updatelessness | 0 likes

What do you mean by "in full
by David Krueger on Doubts about Updatelessness | 0 likes

It seems relatively plausible
by Paul Christiano on Maximally efficient agents will probably have an a... | 1 like

I think that in that case,
by Alex Appel on Smoking Lesion Steelman | 1 like

Two minor comments. First,
by Sam Eisenstat on No Constant Distribution Can be a Logical Inductor | 1 like

A: While that is a really
by Alex Appel on Musings on Exploration | 0 likes

> The true reason to do
by Jessica Taylor on Musings on Exploration | 0 likes

A few comments. Traps are
by Vadim Kosoy on Musings on Exploration | 1 like

I'm not convinced exploration
by Abram Demski on Musings on Exploration | 0 likes

Update: This isn't really an
by Alex Appel on A Difficulty With Density-Zero Exploration | 0 likes

If you drop the
by Alex Appel on Distributed Cooperation | 1 like

Cool! I'm happy to see this
by Abram Demski on Distributed Cooperation | 0 likes

Caveat: The version of EDT
by 258 on In memoryless Cartesian environments, every UDT po... | 2 likes

[Delegative Reinforcement
by Vadim Kosoy on Stable Pointers to Value II: Environmental Goals | 1 like


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